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KUBIAK UPDATE
7/22: Adds 2007 red zone target and carry data, solves error in IDP formula for top three linebackers
7/21: Changes DAL RB
Adjusts for Taylor and Shockey trades
7/19: JAC WR, CLE WR
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Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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2007 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS, OFFENSE

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2007

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2006 rank. WEIGHTED OFFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE (VAR.) measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance on offense. Teams are ranked from least consistent (#1, highest variance) to most consistent (#32, smallest variance).

TEAM OFFENSE
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
OFFENSE 		RANK PASS
OFF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
OFF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 NE 42.8% 6 39.2% 1 61.9% 1 18.2% 1 43.6% 63.6% 17.9% 6.7% 16
2 IND 28.3% 1 20.1% 3 43.4% 2 11.0% 3 27.0% 39.4% 12.9% 9.4% 7
3 JAC 20.8% 12 26.7% 2 37.2% 3 6.9% 6 19.1% 33.5% 6.9% 4.0% 30
4 DAL 19.0% 8 12.7% 6 29.9% 4 5.3% 8 22.7% 37.0% 4.9% 19.9% 1
5 GB 17.3% 20 16.7% 5 26.1% 5 3.3% 9 18.7% 30.9% -0.4% 9.5% 6
6 CIN 11.0% 4 8.1% 11 22.5% 6 -4.0% 15 11.2% 23.8% -5.2% 5.0% 25
7 NO 10.3% 5 16.7% 4 20.4% 8 -5.9% 18 9.8% 19.7% -5.9% 7.7% 13
8 PHI 10.2% 3 10.3% 8 5.1% 17 17.0% 2 8.2% 2.7% 15.5% 7.8% 11
9 DEN 7.8% 23 8.0% 12 16.0% 10 -1.5% 12 6.7% 12.9% -0.5% 10.1% 4
10 TB 7.7% 30 3.3% 16 7.9% 14 7.5% 5 8.7% 9.6% 7.6% 4.3% 28
11 CLE 6.9% 31 9.1% 9 10.4% 13 3.0% 10 8.5% 13.9% 2.7% 6.5% 18
12 PIT 6.8% 10 2.4% 17 20.6% 7 -4.9% 17 10.6% 27.1% -3.4% 7.8% 12
13 HOU 5.7% 17 10.4% 7 14.4% 11 -4.6% 16 1.9% 5.2% -1.9% 3.0% 32
14 SEA 5.6% 27 9.1% 10 17.2% 9 -9.9% 22 7.7% 22.7% -12.3% 3.1% 31
15 SD 4.8% 2 5.9% 14 7.2% 15 2.6% 11 2.8% 3.3% 2.4% 9.8% 5
16 MIN 3.4% 29 7.4% 13 -5.2% 19 10.9% 4 1.1% -8.7% 9.6% 6.6% 17
TEAM OFFENSE
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
OFFENSE 		RANK PASS
OFF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
OFF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 WAS 1.0% 13 4.2% 15 12.6% 12 -10.4% 23 -3.0% 8.1% -13.8% 5.3% 24
18 ARI -0.8% 21 -3.3% 18 6.6% 16 -11.3% 26 2.7% 8.8% -5.8% 4.9% 26
19 NYG -2.5% 9 -7.7% 22 -10.1% 24 5.6% 7 -3.6% -12.2% 5.5% 4.9% 27
20 DET -2.7% 25 -5.2% 21 0.8% 18 -8.6% 20 -3.9% 0.7% -11.9% 8.5% 9
21 TEN -4.0% 26 -4.3% 19 -5.5% 20 -2.8% 14 -4.1% -4.9% -3.4% 5.4% 23
22 BUF -7.6% 24 -4.6% 20 -6.9% 22 -8.2% 19 -6.4% -4.9% -7.7% 5.9% 21
23 MIA -8.8% 28 -14.5% 27 -14.3% 26 -2.1% 13 -11.6% -17.5% -4.4% 6.9% 15
24 ATL -10.7% 16 -11.2% 23 -6.8% 21 -15.6% 29 -10.2% -4.3% -17.6% 11.3% 2
25 NYJ -10.8% 14 -12.7% 24 -9.2% 23 -12.6% 28 -10.9% -10.7% -11.1% 4.3% 29
26 BAL -12.8% 15 -14.2% 26 -13.5% 25 -12.1% 27 -15.2% -17.1% -12.9% 10.1% 3
27 CAR -15.2% 19 -19.3% 31 -18.9% 29 -10.9% 24 -13.9% -15.9% -11.6% 7.6% 14
28 OAK -15.4% 32 -16.2% 28 -22.1% 31 -9.8% 21 -13.4% -22.3% -5.9% 6.4% 19
29 KC -18.0% 11 -19.0% 30 -15.5% 27 -21.4% 31 -17.9% -16.9% -19.2% 6.1% 20
30 STL -18.7% 7 -18.1% 29 -18.0% 28 -19.6% 30 -16.9% -13.2% -21.8% 8.2% 10
31 CHI -20.4% 18 -13.8% 25 -19.2% 30 -22.0% 32 -18.5% -13.0% -25.7% 5.8% 22
32 SF -30.5% 22 -27.4% 32 -43.9% 32 -11.1% 25 -29.3% -38.9% -15.4% 9.1% 8

DVOA version: 5.0