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KUBIAK UPDATE
7/22: Adds 2007 red zone target and carry data, solves error in IDP formula for top three linebackers
7/21: Changes DAL RB
Adjusts for Taylor and Shockey trades
7/19: JAC WR, CLE WR
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Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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2007 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS, DEFENSE

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2007

This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense as well as rushing and passing defense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the defense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing defense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs.

LAST YEAR represents 2006 rank. WEIGHTED DEFENSE is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.

VARIANCE (VAR.) measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance on defense. Teams are ranked from least consistent (#1, highest variance) to most consistent (#32, smallest variance).

Remember, since positive numbers represent more scoring, defense is better when it is NEGATIVE.

TEAM DEFENSE
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
DEFENSE 		RANK PASS
DEF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
DEF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
1 TEN -13.5% 24 -5.6% 9 -19.2% 1 -4.9% 18 -7.2% -12.0% -0.1% 10.7% 4
2 PIT -12.3% 10 -6.0% 8 -8.6% 5 -17.5% 3 -10.9% -6.6% -17.0% 10.6% 5
3 IND -10.8% 27 -8.3% 4 -12.0% 3 -9.5% 8 -9.5% -10.7% -8.3% 5.9% 20
4 TB -10.2% 22 -10.9% 3 -10.7% 4 -9.7% 7 -12.8% -11.8% -13.8% 10.4% 7
5 SD -9.8% 14 -16.0% 1 -15.2% 2 -3.2% 19 -9.3% -11.6% -6.5% 9.0% 10
6 WAS -7.2% 32 -6.5% 7 -6.8% 7 -7.8% 11 -4.5% -6.9% -1.1% 12.1% 2
7 CHI -6.9% 2 -11.2% 2 -0.5% 12 -14.3% 4 -3.7% 3.5% -11.9% 5.8% 22
8 NE -6.1% 9 0.3% 18 -6.9% 6 -5.2% 15 -7.1% -10.8% -2.6% 6.1% 19
9 BAL -6.1% 1 -3.4% 14 12.6% 22 -25.5% 1 -1.8% 20.2% -24.7% 5.4% 23
10 DAL -5.8% 16 -5.1% 10 -6.0% 9 -5.5% 14 -5.4% -5.2% -5.7% 3.9% 29
11 SEA -5.4% 20 -6.9% 5 -0.2% 14 -12.1% 5 -12.3% -10.0% -15.3% 10.4% 6
12 JAC -3.3% 3 -6.5% 6 -6.8% 8 1.1% 22 -2.6% -4.2% -0.6% 6.6% 16
13 PHI -3.2% 11 -3.9% 12 -0.3% 13 -6.9% 12 1.1% 8.5% -8.4% 12.4% 1
14 NYG -2.9% 13 -3.9% 11 1.5% 15 -8.4% 10 -0.7% 7.1% -10.5% 7.7% 14
15 GB -1.3% 6 -0.4% 16 6.0% 18 -9.7% 6 -6.3% 0.2% -13.8% 5.1% 25
16 KC -0.5% 18 4.4% 22 -2.8% 10 1.7% 24 1.7% 0.1% 3.3% 9.3% 9
TEAM DEFENSE
DVOA 		LAST
YEAR 		WEIGHTED
DEFENSE 		RANK PASS
DEF. 		PASS
RANK 		RUSH
DEF. 		RUSH
RANK 		NON-ADJUSTED VAR. RANK
TOTAL PASS RUSH
17 BUF 0.1% 15 -3.3% 15 4.6% 16 -5.1% 16 5.8% 13.1% -2.6% 5.9% 21
18 MIN 0.2% 4 2.4% 20 14.7% 23 -22.8% 2 -3.6% 12.2% -28.7% 5.1% 24
19 CAR 0.7% 5 -3.8% 13 5.8% 17 -5.0% 17 3.6% 11.4% -5.3% 6.2% 18
20 ARI 5.4% 23 4.8% 23 10.3% 21 -1.2% 20 -0.4% 3.5% -5.7% 9.9% 8
21 DEN 6.3% 12 4.1% 21 9.5% 19 3.3% 26 2.8% 4.9% 1.0% 11.3% 3
22 CLE 7.6% 21 0.9% 19 15.0% 24 -0.9% 21 5.0% 13.4% -4.5% 3.0% 31
23 OAK 8.3% 8 7.5% 25 -2.0% 11 17.6% 32 10.4% 2.4% 17.7% 4.6% 28
24 CIN 10.1% 25 10.3% 28 24.8% 31 -6.7% 13 2.5% 15.4% -12.2% 8.7% 11
25 NYJ 10.9% 26 -0.3% 17 10.3% 20 11.5% 30 12.5% 11.9% 13.1% 7.3% 15
26 STL 11.0% 29 7.3% 24 18.1% 25 3.1% 25 10.7% 18.3% 2.5% 5.1% 26
27 NO 11.4% 19 10.3% 27 27.8% 32 -9.4% 9 11.5% 26.4% -7.6% 4.9% 27
28 SF 11.5% 28 9.7% 26 20.8% 29 1.3% 23 7.3% 15.7% -2.0% 2.2% 32
29 ATL 12.1% 17 14.9% 31 18.8% 26 4.7% 28 12.2% 16.1% 7.8% 6.4% 17
30 HOU 13.3% 31 14.3% 30 19.9% 27 5.2% 29 16.2% 21.5% 9.6% 3.8% 30
31 DET 13.9% 30 17.4% 32 21.1% 30 4.0% 27 11.2% 15.8% 4.8% 7.9% 13
32 MIA 16.7% 7 14.2% 29 20.1% 28 14.2% 31 21.2% 30.1% 14.7% 8.4% 12

2007 DEFENSE vs. TYPES OF RECEIVERS

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 12/31/2007

DVOA of defense against receivers does not include sacks or passes with no intended receiver listed. Note that our decision of which receiver is "number one" and which receiver is "number two" is somewhat subjective. Teams are ranked in order of general passing defense DVOA.

Please note that these ratings represent value from the point of view of the defense, not fantasy football players, and include items that have no impact on fantasy football (such as how many interceptions are caught on passes intended to certain receivers).

TEAM vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
1 TEN -2.5% 14 -12.8% 9 -36.7% 3 -29.6% 1 -27.7% 3
2 SD -13.0% 7 -94.6% 1 26.7% 30 14.1% 17 -13.4% 10
3 IND -27.1% 4 13.1% 20 -65.8% 1 -20.4% 2 -3.8% 20
4 TB -29.1% 3 -2.9% 15 -2.4% 18 -6.5% 5 -3.7% 21
5 PIT -2.1% 15 8.0% 18 -37.0% 2 14.3% 18 -41.2% 1
6 NE -1.6% 16 -11.2% 10 -21.1% 11 19.0% 23 -8.0% 15
7 WAS 7.8% 20 -45.7% 2 -34.2% 5 0.3% 10 0.8% 24
8 JAC -4.4% 13 -29.3% 4 7.3% 24 -6.3% 6 -8.3% 14
9 DAL 4.1% 18 -30.4% 3 -6.6% 17 34.0% 28 -1.1% 23
10 KC 18.4% 24 -24.1% 5 -30.9% 7 36.0% 30 -18.0% 6
11 OAK -43.6% 1 45.8% 32 0.3% 20 -1.8% 9 5.8% 27
12 CHI -30.0% 2 27.1% 28 -15.7% 15 8.6% 15 21.2% 31
13 PHI -5.6% 11 9.3% 19 6.0% 22 -2.7% 8 1.9% 26
14 SEA -12.6% 8 -4.8% 13 21.3% 27 15.2% 19 -23.1% 5
15 NYG 10.2% 21 -20.0% 7 -28.5% 9 37.6% 31 7.0% 28
16 BUF -5.4% 12 29.3% 30 -29.6% 8 -15.0% 3 -1.8% 22
TEAM vs. #1 WR vs. #2 WR vs. Other WR vs. TE vs. RB
17 CAR 14.2% 23 0.7% 16 -23.0% 10 16.3% 20 -25.1% 4
18 GB -18.2% 5 2.3% 17 27.4% 31 8.4% 14 -16.4% 8
19 DEN -0.5% 17 -15.4% 8 16.4% 26 57.4% 32 -30.5% 2
20 NYJ 23.0% 27 -4.6% 14 -32.8% 6 11.6% 16 10.5% 29
21 ARI 22.8% 26 23.5% 25 -19.7% 12 -7.9% 4 -5.4% 17
22 BAL -18.0% 6 37.7% 31 -15.1% 16 21.2% 24 10.6% 30
23 MIN 25.9% 28 19.4% 23 35.2% 32 -3.7% 7 -5.4% 18
24 CLE 4.3% 19 -20.4% 6 22.8% 29 28.7% 26 -11.8% 11
25 STL 22.1% 25 14.4% 21 -35.6% 4 4.1% 11 -6.9% 16
26 ATL -5.8% 10 29.2% 29 21.5% 28 33.6% 27 -14.4% 9
27 HOU 29.9% 31 -6.6% 11 14.4% 25 26.6% 25 -10.7% 12
28 MIA 13.0% 22 25.7% 27 -1.2% 19 5.2% 12 -4.2% 19
29 SF -8.1% 9 23.5% 24 5.8% 21 35.1% 29 -8.6% 13
30 DET 26.4% 30 24.2% 26 -17.3% 14 6.7% 13 27.7% 32
31 CIN 26.3% 29 18.4% 22 -18.5% 13 18.6% 21 -16.8% 7
32 NO 76.3% 32 -5.5% 12 6.5% 23 18.8% 22 1.3% 25

DVOA version: 5.0