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KUBIAK UPDATE
7/22: Adds 2007 red zone target and carry data, solves error in IDP formula for top three linebackers
7/21: Changes DAL RB
Adjusts for Taylor and Shockey trades
7/19: JAC WR, CLE WR
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Top 5 Total DVOA

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (52.0%)
  2. IND (33.1%)
  3. DAL (24.3%)
  4. JAC (23.7%)
  5. GB (21.2%)

Top 5 Offense

2007 FINAL

  1. NE (42.6%)
  2. IND (28.3%)
  3. JAC (20.7%)
  4. DAL (19.0%)
  5. GB (17.3%)

Top 5 Defense

2007 FINAL

  1. TEN (-13.4%)
  2. PIT (-12.3%)
  3. IND (-10.7%)
  4. TB (-10.2%)
  5. SD (-9.8%)

Top 5 Special Teams

2007 FINAL

  1. CHI (9.3%)
  2. CLE (6.9%)
  3. HOU (5.7%)
  4. SF (4.5%)
  5. SD (4.5%)
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Baseball Prospectus Basketball Prospectus

QUARTERBACKS 2007

Regular season totals, playoffs not included

Revised as of 7/10/2008

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

True Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more True Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer True Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. True Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value. Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.

PASSING: Minimum 100 passes, 49 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
12-T.Brady NE 2,788 1 2,698 1 56.9% 1 54.7% 606 4,760 7,101 50 1 3 8 68.9%
18-P.Manning IND 1,845 2 1,679 2 40.6% 2 36.0% 542 4,033 5,379 31 4 1 13 65.4%
4-B.Favre GB 1,437 3 1,457 3 28.0% 5 28.5% 556 4,151 4,915 28 6 1 14 66.9%
9-T.Romo DAL 1,295 4 1,349 4 25.5% 6 27.0% 551 4,173 4,609 36 8 1 19 64.6%
9-D.Brees NO 1,287 5 1,193 6 17.0% 12 14.9% 673 4,362 5,438 28 4 4 17 67.8%
9-C.Palmer CIN 1,215 6 1,204 5 20.1% 9 19.8% 595 4,075 4,781 26 4 1 19 65.3%
9-D.Garrard JAC 1,087 7 986 8 37.4% 3 32.9% 350 2,442 3,285 18 1 2 3 64.2%
6-J.Cutler DEN 973 8 809 12 19.4% 11 14.2% 501 3,403 3,895 20 5 2 14 64.0%
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA 938 9 1,167 7 12.8% 14 18.6% 599 3,824 4,449 28 2 2 12 63.0%
3-D.Anderson CLE 797 10 888 9 12.3% 15 14.9% 539 3,727 3,830 29 2 2 19 57.5%
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 743 11 850 11 15.5% 13 19.4% 449 2,821 3,241 32 4 3 11 65.9%
13-K.Warner ARI 699 12 878 10 11.3% 16 17.0% 476 3,296 3,462 27 4 5 16 62.9%
7-J.Garcia TB 691 13 746 13 19.5% 10 21.9% 346 2,356 2,757 13 2 1 4 64.9%
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
5-D.McNabb PHI 658 14 666 14 8.2% 18 8.4% 520 3,150 3,636 19 3 3 7 61.8%
18-S.Rosenfels HOU 599 15 373 17 24.3% 7 10.9% 246 1,647 2,177 15 1 3 12 64.4%
17-P.Rivers SD 551 16 450 15 6.9% 20 3.6% 490 3,038 3,207 21 5 5 15 60.2%
17-J.Campbell WAS 432 17 344 18 4.4% 22 1.2% 437 2,596 2,835 12 2 7 11 60.5%
8-J.Kitna DET 390 18 293 20 -1.2% 23 -3.7% 616 3,840 3,713 18 6 6 20 63.4%
8-M.Schaub HOU 381 19 377 16 8.2% 17 8.0% 303 2,132 2,107 9 3 3 9 67.4%
15-T.Collins WAS 311 20 288 21 31.6% 4 28.4% 115 854 1,010 5 2 2 0 63.8%
5-Q.Gray JAC 301 21 312 19 20.9% 8 22.1% 155 932 1,163 10 1 1 4 55.6%
10-T.Green MIA 174 22 123 25 7.8% 19 2.2% 149 958 982 5 1 0 7 61.6%
8-C.Redman ATL 163 23 221 22 5.5% 21 11.4% 160 1,099 1,010 10 1 1 5 60.1%
10-C.Pennington NYJ 141 24 77 27 -3.6% 26 -7.0% 286 1,599 1,706 10 3 0 9 69.4%
13-J.Harrington ATL 123 25 142 24 -5.8% 29 -5.0% 382 2,071 2,044 7 0 0 7 61.8%
7-T.Jackson MIN 105 26 156 23 -5.8% 28 -3.3% 308 1,852 1,743 9 1 2 12 59.7%
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
8-D.Culpepper OAK 77 27 -4 36 -4.9% 27 -11.4% 210 1,181 1,115 5 3 3 5 58.1%
10-V.Young TEN 74 28 58 29 -8.4% 31 -9.0% 411 2,433 2,274 9 4 2 17 62.5%
3-M.Moore CAR 66 29 20 33 -2.8% 24 -8.7% 118 686 731 3 1 0 4 56.8%
7-M.Leinart ARI 58 30 72 28 -3.3% 25 -1.4% 116 624 670 2 0 0 3 53.6%
5-T.Edwards BUF 58 31 42 30 -7.8% 30 -8.7% 282 1,556 1,492 7 4 0 8 56.6%
7-J.Losman BUF 26 32 25 32 -8.9% 32 -9.0% 188 1,101 968 4 1 1 6 63.8%
7-K.Boller BAL -10 33 1 35 -11.6% 33 -11.1% 298 1,652 1,548 9 1 4 10 62.0%
11-D.Huard KC -14 34 8 34 -11.8% 34 -10.8% 370 2,119 1,795 11 2 3 13 62.2%
12-L.McCown TB -28 35 97 26 -13.9% 36 -1.4% 154 915 768 5 1 2 3 68.6%
14-A.Feeley PHI -31 36 -64 39 -15.6% 39 -20.2% 107 686 523 5 1 0 8 57.3%
14-B.Griese CHI -67 37 40 31 -15.0% 37 -8.8% 276 1,687 1,296 9 4 0 12 62.4%
10-E.Manning NYG -70 38 -60 37 -13.1% 35 -12.8% 560 3,161 2,840 23 5 6 19 56.4%
17-C.Lemon MIA -91 39 -71 40 -15.5% 38 -14.5% 337 1,625 1,554 6 3 3 6 56.4%
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
12-B.Croyle KC -112 40 -164 43 -18.5% 41 -21.9% 240 1,115 1,076 6 1 3 6 57.0%
11-K.Clemens NYJ -136 41 -183 45 -18.9% 42 -21.7% 278 1,474 1,219 5 3 1 9 52.8%
10-M.Bulger STL -142 42 -81 41 -16.5% 40 -14.2% 419 2,224 1,921 11 2 3 13 58.8%
8-R.Grossman CHI -167 43 -262 48 -21.8% 43 -27.9% 248 1,221 1,032 4 3 2 7 55.2%
8-D.Carr CAR -171 44 -221 47 -29.1% 47 -34.3% 152 599 534 3 1 0 5 53.7%
12-G.Frerotte STL -175 45 -141 42 -26.2% 45 -23.3% 179 992 697 7 1 1 12 56.6%
9-S.McNair BAL -188 46 -63 38 -24.4% 44 -15.6% 217 1,040 889 2 1 5 4 65.2%
16-V.Testaverde CAR -214 47 -203 46 -28.6% 46 -27.7% 183 942 694 5 2 1 6 54.7%
12-J.McCown OAK -239 48 -169 44 -29.1% 48 -23.9% 207 1,088 741 10 7 3 10 58.4%
9-J.Beck MIA -303 49 -304 49 -51.7% 50 -51.8% 118 486 190 1 1 5 3 57.5%
11-A.Smith SF -507 50 -429 50 -49.4% 49 -43.5% 209 789 376 2 1 5 4 49.2%
12-T.Dilfer SF -632 51 -612 51 -52.2% 51 -50.9% 245 1,000 379 7 5 1 11 52.6%

PASSING, OTHERS: 10-99 passes

Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
17-J.Delhomme CAR 176 249 17.7% 29.7% 92 649 729 8 1 0 1 64.7%
5-K.Collins TEN 148 170 15.3% 19.2% 88 513 652 0 0 1 0 61.0%
13-S.Hill SF 101 129 6.0% 10.8% 84 458 613 5 0 2 1 69.2%
10-T.Smith BAL 85 41 5.2% -3.3% 80 421 536 2 1 1 0 53.3%
12-A.Rodgers GB 84 68 31.7% 23.6% 30 194 273 1 0 0 0 74.1%
16-C.Batch PIT 29 33 0.5% 2.5% 37 270 236 2 0 0 3 47.2%
9-B.Bollinger MIN 28 25 -3.3% -4.1% 57 355 328 1 0 1 1 67.3%
12-J.Sorgi IND 21 -8 -1.9% -14.7% 38 117 208 1 0 0 0 50.0%
12-T.Rattay ARI 2 11 -9.9% -5.5% 28 163 160 3 1 0 2 55.6%
14-B.Johnson DAL -2 -7 -13.8% -20.0% 12 70 57 0 0 0 0 63.6%
15-S.Wallace SEA -7 7 -14.6% -7.9% 32 207 160 2 0 1 1 67.9%
14-J.O'Sullivan DET -18 0 -21.5% -11.0% 30 126 115 1 1 0 2 50.0%
Player Team DYAR YAR DVOA VOA Passes Yards True
Yards		 TD FK FL INT C%
3-B.Berlin STL -19 2 -22.6% -9.8% 28 153 108 0 0 0 1 60.7%
13-K.Holcomb MIN -24 -54 -15.5% -20.8% 96 422 416 2 1 0 1 51.2%
5-B.Gradkowski TB -30 -47 -30.2% -40.5% 25 106 86 0 0 0 1 56.5%
16-C.Nall GB -39 -21 -44.6% -28.9% 18 75 41 1 1 1 0 46.7%
11-P.Ramsey DEN -44 14 -24.5% -6.8% 51 269 207 1 0 1 1 61.7%
17-C.Weinke SF -66 -51 -48.4% -39.8% 27 73 53 1 0 0 0 59.1%
18-K.Orton CHI -72 -6 -25.0% -12.3% 83 444 320 3 2 0 2 53.8%
9-C.Frye CLE -105 -121 -123.0% -139.9% 15 3 -67 0 0 0 1 40.0%
7-B.Volek SD -121 -128 -167.3% -175.0% 12 -1 -103 0 0 0 1 30.0%
2-J.Russell OAK -144 -208 -42.7% -56.7% 75 341 171 2 2 2 4 54.5%
4-B.Leftwich ATL -215 -218 -65.0% -65.7% 64 244 29 1 2 2 2 55.2%

RUSHING: Minimum 8 rushes, 37 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards True
Yards		 TD FUM
7-T.Jackson MIN 80 1 81 1 25.4% 5 25.9% 41 260 340 3 1
7-B.Roethlisberger PIT 65 2 60 3 24.6% 6 21.5% 30 204 282 2 1
17-C.Lemon MIA 62 3 53 4 24.5% 7 19.2% 28 103 270 4 0
9-D.Garrard JAC 58 4 63 2 13.3% 11 15.4% 37 199 303 1 0
12-L.McCown TB 52 5 50 6 86.7% 1 83.6% 10 118 159 0 0
3-D.Anderson CLE 50 6 50 5 34.2% 4 34.7% 17 83 195 3 0
6-J.Cutler DEN 38 7 36 7 9.3% 15 8.6% 30 208 216 1 2
18-S.Rosenfels HOU 30 8 31 9 41.5% 2 42.9% 10 61 110 1 0
5-D.McNabb PHI 29 9 25 13 3.3% 17 1.2% 37 238 206 0 3
9-T.Romo DAL 28 10 26 12 12.4% 13 10.8% 22 137 148 2 1
7-K.Boller BAL 25 11 29 10 13.1% 12 17.1% 18 96 130 0 0
12-T.Brady NE 25 12 32 8 3.7% 16 8.3% 24 112 171 2 1
11-A.Smith SF 24 13 28 11 35.6% 3 45.3% 9 92 91 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards True
Yards		 TD FUM
9-D.Brees NO 23 14 19 16 14.2% 10 9.7% 13 60 115 1 0
5-Q.Gray JAC 20 15 23 14 22.2% 8 25.7% 9 63 91 0 0
7-J.Garcia TB 17 16 21 15 1.0% 18 4.8% 22 121 130 1 1
11-K.Clemens NYJ 16 17 11 22 -1.0% 21 -4.5% 25 112 144 1 0
10-T.Smith BAL 15 18 12 19 17.5% 9 11.3% 9 56 72 1 1
5-T.Edwards BUF 12 19 11 20 11.3% 14 10.5% 10 52 64 0 0
10-E.Manning NYG 11 20 13 18 -0.9% 20 2.1% 16 83 93 1 2
10-V.Young TEN 9 21 16 17 -9.7% 24 -7.9% 75 401 302 3 4
7-M.Leinart ARI 8 22 8 23 1.0% 19 0.5% 10 43 66 0 0
14-B.Griese CHI 4 23 4 26 -3.7% 22 -3.9% 8 30 48 0 1
8-M.Schaub HOU 3 24 4 25 -8.2% 23 -6.3% 14 54 61 0 0
8-D.Carr CAR 2 25 -2 29 -9.9% 25 -14.5% 14 60 58 0 0
7-J.Losman BUF 1 26 3 27 -10.7% 26 -8.7% 18 112 68 0 2
Player Team DYAR Rk YAR Rk DVOA Rk VOA Runs Yards True
Yards		 TD FUM
12-J.McCown OAK 1 27 4 24 -11.4% 27 -8.8% 25 143 98 0 0
8-D.Culpepper OAK 0 28 11 21 -11.9% 28 2.0% 15 38 58 3 1
13-J.Harrington ATL 0 29 -4 30 -12.4% 30 -22.2% 9 37 31 0 0
17-J.Campbell WAS 0 30 2 28 -12.3% 29 -10.8% 30 183 113 1 4
8-M.Hasselbeck SEA -3 31 -7 31 -14.9% 31 -18.8% 22 104 72 0 2
8-R.Grossman CHI -7 32 -8 32 -28.2% 33 -31.6% 8 38 15 0 1
17-P.Rivers SD -12 33 -12 33 -23.6% 32 -23.4% 17 41 47 1 1
8-J.Kitna DET -15 34 -19 34 -31.7% 35 -36.4% 17 68 21 0 2
10-C.Pennington NYJ -21 35 -20 35 -30.3% 34 -30.1% 15 33 34 1 2
9-S.McNair BAL -25 36 -23 36 -63.3% 37 -59.5% 8 31 -22 0 2
4-B.Favre GB -26 37 -27 37 -61.3% 36 -64.8% 9 24 -22 0 2