Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

BelichickBil.jpg

Photo: Icon Sports Media

Aggressiveness Index 2011

Which coaches were most aggressive when it came to fourth downs in 2011? And could a couple high-profile plays be hiding the fact that NFL coaches are actually getting less aggressive?

Recent Features

FanDuel

Football Outsiders Features

Walkthrough: Southern Gothic

It's Midnight in the Garden of Senior Bowl coverage as Mike Tanier finds himself stuck inside of Mobile with the Kirk Cousins blues again. From Mardi Gras to mumble-speak, its the Deep South like you never saw it before.

31 comments, Last Comment at 10:20am by Jimmy

Jan 26, 2012 10:03am by Mike Tanier || read all Walkthrough articles

Conference Championship DVOA Ratings

Updated DVOA ratings, and an explanation of why 2007 isn't exactly like 2011.

204 comments, Last Comment at 26 Jan 2012, 2:19pm by RICK2

Jan 23, 2012 02:34pm by Aaron Schatz || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Conf. Championship Quick Reads

With Tom Brady and Eli Manning set to square off in the Super Bowl (again), we measure their status among playoff quarterbacks in recent history.

158 comments, Last Comment at 3:59am by armchair journeyman quarterback

Jan 24, 2012 06:33am GMT by Vince Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Cover-2: The No-Huddle Defense

John Wooden used to say, "Be quick, but don't hurry." The best way to beat complex defenses is to find ways to do both on a regular basis.

18 comments, Last Comment at 28 Nov 2011, 5:28pm by tuluse

Oct 20, 2011 12:56pm by Doug Farrar || read all Cover-2 articles

Scramble for the Ball: 2011 All-KCW Team

NFL fans often derisively speculate which team would lose to any given college football squad. This is that team.

65 comments, Last Comment at 9:42am by Ravens

Jan 25, 2012 02:16pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower || read all Scramble articles

Word of Muth: Keeping Up With the Smiths

The Saints faced a tough task when they tried to slow down the 49ers last weekend. How does Word of Muth score the Justin Smith-Carl Nicks battle?

32 comments, Last Comment at 9:42am by dryheat

Jan 19, 2012 01:42pm by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

Audibles at the Line: Conference Championships

It's 2007 all over again.

275 comments, Last Comment at 26 Jan 2012, 7:54pm by MJK

Jan 23, 2012 08:49am GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Audibles articles

Final 2011 FEI Ratings

FEI says LSU still had the best overall season, even if it wasn't the national champion. We also produce a list of the best single-game performances this season, by FEI.

41 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2012, 1:20am by AnonymousBoob

Jan 11, 2012 05:31am by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

One Foot Inbounds: Bama Beatdown

A retrospective of the decisive BCS Championship game, where Alabama redeemed itself.

97 comments, Last Comment at 11 Jan 2012, 5:16pm by Authentic Sellout

Jan 10, 2012 09:10am by Robert Weintraub || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: BCS Championship Preview

SDA takes aim at the BCS title game. Who has the advantage in the LSU-Alabama rematch?

8 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2012, 10:15am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 09, 2012 12:13pm by Brian Fremeau || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Varsity Numbers Puts a Bow on 2011

In the season-ending edition of Varsity Numbers, Bill Connelly takes a look at what put Alabama ahead of LSU, both in the BCS title game and in the 2011 F/+ rankings, and looks at the winners and losers of bowl season.

12 comments, Last Comment at 18 Jan 2012, 9:34am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Jan 16, 2012 03:28pm by Bill Connelly || read all Varsity Numbers articles

Under the Cap: 2012 Defense Tag Projections

Under the Cap has projections of how this offseason might look before free agency officially begins. This article covers defense.

3 comments, Last Comment at 03 Jan 2012, 5:14pm by navin

Jan 03, 2012 03:01pm by Brian McIntyre || read all Under The Cap articles

The Week In Quotes: January 27, 2012

In this week's best quotes, NFL players hate Skip Bayless as much as you do, Peyton Manning misses the past, and we check in with the scapegoats of last week.

16 comments, Last Comment at 1:49pm by JonC

Jan 27, 2012 05:22am by Rivers McCown || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Innovative Statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

TeamSB Win
NE60.9%
NYG39.1%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 20

2011 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB28.3% 1NO30.1%
2PIT23.7% 2PIT29.9%
3NO23.3% 3GB26.1%
4NE22.5% 4NE23.7%
5HOU19.4% 5PHI22.9%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1GB39.2% 1NO44.0%
2NO37.8% 2GB38.9%
3NE36.8% 3NE36.0%
4CAR23.0% 4CAR24.6%
5SD17.7% 5SD23.4%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1BAL-13.7% 1CHI-13.6%
2NYJ-11.9% 2ATL-9.8%
3SF-10.3% 3NYJ-9.8%
4CHI-10.2% 4PIT-9.1%
5JAC-6.6% 5BAL-8.8%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS

Full SeasonWeighted
1CHI7.3% 1TEN9.6%
2SF7.0% 2CHI7.1%
3TEN5.5% 3NE5.3%
4NYJ5.0% 4SF4.8%
5NE3.7% 5MIA4.3%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 QUARTERBACKS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1D.BreesNO2,544 1A.RodgersGB52.6%
2A.RodgersGB2,268 2D.BreesNO44.5%
3T.BradyNE2,235 3T.BradyNE41.0%
4T.RomoDAL1,591 4T.RomoDAL33.8%
5M.StaffordDET1,446 5M.SchaubHOU31.2%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 RUNNING BACKS

Rush DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
Rush DVOA Leaders
(Value per Play)
Rec DYAR Leaders
(Total Value)
1L.McCoyPHI324 1P.ThomasNO32.6% 1D.SprolesNO274
2M.Jones-DrewJAC231 2J.StewartCAR24.4% 2R.RiceBAL242
3M.LynchSEA230 3D.WilliamsCAR21.0% 3R.MathewsSD158
4J.StewartCAR202 4L.McCoyPHI17.4% 4M.BushOAK156
5R.MathewsSD197 5D.BrownIND16.7% 5A.FosterHOU137
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 WIDE RECEIVERS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1C.JohnsonDET586 1J.NelsonGB54.1%
2J.NelsonGB530 2M.FloydSD51.9%
3W.WelkerNE475 3L.RobinsonDAL43.1%
4V.CruzNYG468 4J.JonesGB42.4%
5M.WallacePIT410 5M.ColstonNO35.4%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

2011 TIGHT ENDS

DYAR Leaders (Total Value)DVOA Leaders (Value per Play)
1R.GronkowskiNE505 1R.GronkowskiNE52.0%
2J.GrahamNO331 2J.DreessenHOU48.9%
3A.GatesSD287 3A.GatesSD40.3%
4T.GonzalezATL237 4K.BossOAK36.2%
5J.FinleyGB205 5S.ChandlerBUF35.0%
Want more in-depth stats? Go Premium!through Week 17

Most Recent Articles

27 Jan 2012, 01:39pm by Guest

Aggressiveness Index 2011

Which coaches were most aggressive when it came to fourth downs in 2011? And could a couple high-profile plays be hiding the fact that NFL coaches are actually getting less aggressive?

» More...

9 comments, Last at 3:58pm by tuluse

27 Jan 2012, 05:22am by Rivers McCown

The Week In Quotes: January 27, 2012

In this week's best quotes, NFL players hate Skip Bayless as much as you do, Peyton Manning misses the past, and we check in with the scapegoats of last week.

» More...

16 comments, Last at 1:49pm by JonC

26 Jan 2012, 01:11pm by Rivers McCown

ESPN: Under-25 Rankings, Risers and Fallers

You may remember that, before the season, we took a look at which teams had the most under-25 talent on the roster. This article takes a look at three organizations which look better in hindsight now that the season is over, and three organizations which look worse.

» More...

0 comments

26 Jan 2012, 10:03am by Mike Tanier

Walkthrough: Southern Gothic

It's Midnight in the Garden of Senior Bowl coverage as Mike Tanier finds himself stuck inside of Mobile with the Kirk Cousins blues again. From Mardi Gras to mumble-speak, its the Deep South like you never saw it before.

» More...

31 comments, Last at 10:20am by Jimmy

25 Jan 2012, 02:16pm by Mike Kurtz and Tom Gower

Scramble for the Ball: 2011 All-KCW Team

NFL fans often derisively speculate which team would lose to any given college football squad. This is that team.

» More...

65 comments, Last at 9:42am by Ravens

24 Jan 2012, 01:23pm by Vince Verhei

ESPN AGS: Lessons from New York's Losses

Any Given Sunday looks at the thread running through the New York Giants' worst games this year. Teams generally beat them by taking advantage of the secondary, particularly the holes in the zone between the linebackers and safeties. It also helped to get Osi Umenyiora off the field.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 25 Jan 2012, 1:38pm by MessageBoard2

24 Jan 2012, 06:33am by Vince Verhei

Conf. Championship Quick Reads

With Tom Brady and Eli Manning set to square off in the Super Bowl (again), we measure their status among playoff quarterbacks in recent history.

» More...

158 comments, Last at 3:59am by armchair journeyman quarterback

23 Jan 2012, 02:34pm by Aaron Schatz

Conference Championship DVOA Ratings

Updated DVOA ratings, and an explanation of why 2007 isn't exactly like 2011.

» More...

204 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2012, 2:19pm by RICK2

23 Jan 2012, 08:49am by Rivers McCown

Audibles at the Line: Conference Championships

It's 2007 all over again.

» More...

275 comments, Last at 26 Jan 2012, 7:54pm by MJK

20 Jan 2012, 11:40pm by Danny Tuccitto

NFC Conference Championship Preview

Last time these teams played, the Giants tried to run the ball against the league's best run defense, and the 49ers flipped conventional wisdom on its head and passed with impunity. What will happen in the rematch?

» More...

54 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2012, 2:18pm by Rick22

20 Jan 2012, 02:16pm by Aaron Schatz

AFC Conference Championship Preview

Our in-depth preview of all the matchups in the AFC Conference championship also includes a look at whether the Ravens' record of "playing to the level of their opponents" means anything.

» More...

56 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2012, 6:40pm by Sid

20 Jan 2012, 07:48am by Rivers McCown

The Week In Quotes: January 20, 2012

Joe Flacco dodges criticism, everyone remotely associated with the Jets weighs in on the Jets, and Bernard Pollard embraces gender binary in this week's best quotes.

» More...

6 comments, Last at 22 Jan 2012, 3:10am by Intropy

Click here for full article archives